BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
2-9 | Road
51
RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-7 | Home
38
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
BRONCS
0%
BISON
--
BRONCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
RIDER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Rider)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RID -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RID)
BUCK By 1-7 points
0.2%
BUCK By 8-14 points
0.0%
RID By 1-7 points
1.7%
RID By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
62
BUCKNELL
Rider
90
RIDER
Simulated Score
Bucknell
68
BUCKNELL
Rider
72
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Broncs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
BUCK @ RID
51 - 38
Nov 23, 2024
RID @ BUCK
57 - 53
Nov 24, 2021
RID @ BUCK
85 - 79
Nov 17, 2021
RID @ BUCK
74 - 81
Dec 3, 2019
BUCK @ RID
69 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+131.2% more
Rider: 5.5
vs
Bucknell: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+20.2% more
Rider: 14.5
vs
Bucknell: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
Rider: 38.7
vs
Bucknell: 32.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Rider: 33.5%
vs
Bucknell: 31.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
62.0
51
RID Score
90.0
38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 31.1
23.0 / 21.0
Assists
9.1 / 13.8
3.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.5 / 2.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 40.1
34.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 70.6
33.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 32.9
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.6
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 12.1
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
Advantage
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
BUCK
RID
BUCK
ML
72%
21-8
55%
18-15
66%
19-10
64%
21-12
ATS
72%
21-8
45%
15-18
66%
19-10
64%
21-12
TTL
62%
18-11
61%
20-13
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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