Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Golden Eagles GRAM @ USM

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

3-6  |  Road

60
FINAL
Mon, Dec 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Reed Green Coliseum
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

6-4  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
TIGERS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SOUTHERN MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Southern Miss)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesUSM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

6.7%

Golden Eagles Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USM -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USM)

GRAM By 1-7 points

4.8%

GRAM By 8-14 points

1.1%

USM By 1-7 points

15.3%

USM By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
GRAMBLING
85
SOUTHERN MISS
Simulated Score
65
GRAMBLING
72
SOUTHERN MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2025 GRAM @ USM 60 - 68
Nov 13, 2025 USM @ GRAM 70 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.4% more
Southern Miss: 3.9 vs Grambling: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +27.4% more
Southern Miss: 37.8 vs Grambling: 29.7
Assists (L5) +19.2% more
Southern Miss: 13.2 vs Grambling: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Southern Miss: 46.5% vs Grambling: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 70.0 60
USM Score 85.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 27.6 19.0 / 54.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.1 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.4 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 43.3 48.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 72.8 79.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 29.7 32.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.6 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 13.5 17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
USM Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
USM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USM
GRAM
USM
GRAM
ML
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
73% 24-9
68% 17-8
ATS
59% 20-14
61% 19-12
74% 25-9
68% 17-8
TTL
68% 23-11
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days ago