COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
20-2-6 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
15-8-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.920 | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.920
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
FLYERS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
17.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
PHI By 1 goal
6.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
PHI @ COL
7 - 3
Dec 7, 2025
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2025
PHI @ COL
0 - 2
Nov 18, 2024
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Jan 20, 2024
COL @ PHI
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.5% more
Colorado: 37.7
vs
Philadelphia: 29.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.1% more
Philadelphia: 15.7
vs
Colorado: 13.3
Power Play % (L5)
+17.7%
Philadelphia: 21.8%
vs
Colorado: 4.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+13.8% more
Philadelphia: 4.9
vs
Colorado: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
1.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 13.3
20.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 49.7
47.9 / 52.1
Hits
21.1 / 20.0
21.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
21.8 / 4.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 37.7
25.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.3
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
COL
PHI
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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