COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
13-9-6 | Road
0
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
17-9-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 1.05 | 0.973 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.05
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.973
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CBJ By 1 goal
0.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
0.3%
WSH By 1 goal
6.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
1
COLUMBUS
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.0% more
Washington: 18.0
vs
Columbus: 14.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.4% more
Columbus: 30.0
vs
Washington: 26.0
Takeaways (L5)
+12.2% more
Columbus: 5.2
vs
Washington: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Columbus: 29.9%
vs
Washington: 25.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
1.0
0
WSH Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.0 / 14.8
11.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 50.2
52.5 / 47.5
Hits
17.7 / 18.6
16.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
2514.0 / 2988.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 30.0
38.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.2
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
ML
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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