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SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

2-7  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 2:30 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

3-7  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
RED FLASH --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Radford)
Red FlashSFPA (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Flash Cover

1.8%

Highlanders Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

SFPA By 1-7 points

1.4%

SFPA By 8-14 points

0.2%

RAD By 1-7 points

6.8%

RAD By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
54
SAINT FRANCIS
75
RADFORD
Simulated Score
68
SAINT FRANCIS
73
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 SFPA @ RAD 56 - 89
Dec 1, 2024 RAD @ SFPA 79 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +17.7% more
Radford: 8.6 vs Saint Francis: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Radford: 72.2% vs Saint Francis: 69.9%
Blocks (L5) +28.5% more
Saint Francis: 4.7 vs Radford: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +21.7% more
Saint Francis: 46.5 vs Radford: 36.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score 54.0 56
RAD Score 75.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 32.5 42.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.7 / 18.2 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.3 / 45.1 53.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 69.9 71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 46.5 41.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.3 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 13.4 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
RAD Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
RAD Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
SFPA
RAD
SFPA
ML
77% 23-7
68% 21-10
76% 22-7
67% 20-10
ATS
63% 19-11
68% 21-10
77% 23-7
67% 20-10
TTL
67% 20-10
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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