Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Sycamores USI @ INST

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

3-6  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Hulman Center
View Odds Details →

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

5-4  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
SYCAMORES
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
SYCAMORES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Indiana State)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 SycamoresINST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

1.4%

Sycamores Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around INST -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

USI By 1-7 points

1.1%

USI By 8-14 points

0.1%

INST By 1-7 points

5.8%

INST By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
SOUTHERN INDIANA
78
INDIANA STATE
Simulated Score
71
SOUTHERN INDIANA
82
INDIANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sycamores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sycamores Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sycamores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Sycamores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 USI @ INST 55 - 77
Nov 25, 2024 INST @ USI 77 - 87
Dec 9, 2023 USI @ INST 54 - 98
Dec 11, 2022 INST @ USI 85 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +56.4% more
Indiana State: 9.0 vs Southern Indiana: 5.7
Assists (L5) +45.6% more
Indiana State: 18.8 vs Southern Indiana: 12.9
Turnovers (L5) +36.1% more
Indiana State: 14.0 vs Southern Indiana: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5) +17.0%
Indiana State: 73.6% vs Southern Indiana: 56.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 56.0 55
INST Score 78.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 35.3 36.0 / 30.0
Assists 18.8 / 12.9 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.5 / 5.0 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 42.4 49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 56.6 90.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 41.8 39.0 / 30.0
Steals 9.0 / 5.7 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 10.3 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
INST Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
INST
USI
INST
USI
ML
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
53% 17-15
61% 17-11
ATS
62% 20-12
70% 21-9
53% 17-15
61% 17-11
TTL
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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