CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
3-5 | Road
65
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
7-1 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
CMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
CMU By 8-14 points
3.3%
SLU By 1-7 points
23.0%
SLU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
64
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Saint Louis
74
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Saint Louis
76
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
CMU @ SLU
65 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.4% more
Saint Louis: 7.0
vs
Central Michigan: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
Saint Louis: 43.7
vs
Central Michigan: 36.1
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
Saint Louis: 14.9
vs
Central Michigan: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Saint Louis: 81.4%
vs
Central Michigan: 71.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
64.0
65
SLU Score
74.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 31.1
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.4 / 18.1
26.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.6
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 50.8
58.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 71.7
73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 36.1
40.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.4
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 13.4
4.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
CMU
SLU
CMU
ML
70%
23-10
57%
17-13
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
ATS
73%
24-9
67%
20-10
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
TTL
61%
20-13
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
