Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Panthers HOF @ PITT

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

5-4  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

5-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
PRIDE --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Hofstra)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

99.9%

Panthers Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

HOF By 1-7 points

1.1%

HOF By 8-14 points

4.8%

PITT By 1-7 points

0.1%

PITT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
HOFSTRA
58
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
65
HOFSTRA
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pride Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pride (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 HOF @ PITT 80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +16.4% more
Hofstra: 4.6 vs Pittsburgh: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +13.6% more
Hofstra: 12.3 vs Pittsburgh: 10.6
Assists (L5) +12.9% more
Hofstra: 12.9 vs Pittsburgh: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +9.8%
Hofstra: 75.7% vs Pittsburgh: 65.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 88.0 80
PITT Score 58.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 38.0 43.0 / 40.0
Assists 11.2 / 12.9 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.6 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 46.3 46.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 75.7 86.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 37.1 26.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.4 / 5.7 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 12.3 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
HOF
PITT
HOF
ML
58% 19-14
77% 27-8
45% 15-18
71% 25-10
ATS
64% 21-12
83% 29-6
45% 15-18
71% 25-10
TTL
61% 20-13
51% 18-17
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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