CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
5-5 | Road
90
SAMFORD
BULLDOGSSAM
5-6 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BIG RED
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
SAMFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Samford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAM -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAM)
COR By 1-7 points
0.0%
COR By 8-14 points
0.0%
SAM By 1-7 points
0.0%
SAM By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
62
CORNELL
Samford
109
SAMFORD
Simulated Score
Cornell
74
CORNELL
Samford
78
SAMFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o166.5
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u166.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
COR @ SAM
90 - 93
Nov 8, 2024
SAM @ COR
86 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Samford: 35.1
vs
Cornell: 31.3
Assists (L5)
+58.8% more
Cornell: 20.9
vs
Samford: 8.6
Steals (L5)
+32.3% more
Cornell: 6.0
vs
Samford: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+22.2% more
Cornell: 2.8
vs
Samford: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
62.0
90
SAM Score
109.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
22.0 / 41.1
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
8.6 / 20.9
18.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.8
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
36.1 / 53.4
55.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
62.9 / 76.7
70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 31.3
37.0 / 42.0
Steals
4.1 / 6.0
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 13.7
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
SAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
SAM
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAM
COR
SAM
COR
ML
65%
20-11
44%
12-15
68%
21-10
63%
17-10
ATS
68%
21-10
59%
16-11
68%
21-10
63%
17-10
TTL
35%
11-20
78%
21-6
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
Contextual Game News
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
Ashton Daniels Erupts for Five Rushing Scores as Florida State C…