AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
TERRIERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
BU By 1-7 points
10.7%
BU By 8-14 points
3.3%
UNH By 1-7 points
23.0%
UNH By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
69
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
New Hampshire
79
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Boston University
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
New Hampshire
72
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
BU @ UNH
82 - 88
Nov 20, 2022
BU @ UNH
64 - 57
Nov 16, 2019
UNH @ BU
70 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.7% more
New Hampshire: 7.3
vs
Boston University: 5.6
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
New Hampshire: 34.5
vs
Boston University: 30.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
New Hampshire: 78.5%
vs
Boston University: 65.7%
Assists (L5)
+39.2% more
Boston University: 16.2
vs
New Hampshire: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
69.0
82
UNH Score
79.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.2 / 44.0
30.0 / 48.0
Assists
9.9 / 16.2
5.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.0 / 56.6
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 65.7
52.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 30.1
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.6
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 12.0
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
BU
UNH
BU
ML
70%
19-8
68%
23-11
74%
20-7
62%
21-13
ATS
67%
18-9
62%
21-13
74%
20-7
62%
21-13
TTL
59%
16-11
65%
22-12
100%
27-0
100%
34-0