Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Panthers JAX @ FIU

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

4-4  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

4-3  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
DOLPHINS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Jacksonville)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

91.9%

Panthers Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JAX -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)

JAX By 1-7 points

16.9%

JAX By 8-14 points

26.2%

FIU By 1-7 points

5.8%

FIU By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
68
JACKSONVILLE
54
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
68
JACKSONVILLE
73
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dolphins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dolphins (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 JAX @ FIU 65 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +205.2% more
Florida International: 5.9 vs Jacksonville: 1.9
Assists (L5) +42.2% more
Florida International: 16.1 vs Jacksonville: 11.3
Steals (L5) +37.7% more
Florida International: 10.2 vs Jacksonville: 7.4
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
Florida International: 37.5 vs Jacksonville: 33.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 68.0 65
FIU Score 54.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 29.4 69.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.1 / 11.3 18.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.9 / 1.9 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 42.5 56.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 67.2 77.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 33.7 31.0 / 39.0
Steals 10.2 / 7.4 17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.9 12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
FIU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
JAX
FIU
JAX
ML
58% 18-13
74% 23-8
65% 20-11
60% 18-12
ATS
52% 16-15
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
TTL
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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