Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Owls GAST @ KENN

GEORGIA STATE

PANTHERSGAST

1-9  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 3:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

7-2  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
PANTHERS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kennesaw State)
PanthersGAST (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

4.5%

Owls Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

GAST By 1-7 points

3.3%

GAST By 8-14 points

0.6%

KENN By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
GEORGIA STATE
100
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
72
GEORGIA STATE
78
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (-13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 GAST @ KENN 69 - 92
Dec 6, 2024 KENN @ GAST 81 - 77
Dec 2, 2023 GAST @ KENN 77 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +107.7% more
Kennesaw State: 5.9 vs Georgia State: 2.8
Assists (L5) +40.0% more
Kennesaw State: 13.4 vs Georgia State: 9.5
Rebounding (L5) +31.8% more
Kennesaw State: 45.8 vs Georgia State: 34.7
Field Goal % (L5) +9.0%
Kennesaw State: 44.7% vs Georgia State: 35.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GAST Score 83.0 69
KENN Score 100.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 26.0 45.0 / 20.0
Assists 13.4 / 9.5 16.0 / 5.0
Blocks 5.9 / 2.8 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 35.7 52.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 73.7 62.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 34.7 50.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.7 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.1 19.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GAST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GAST
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -2.4
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
GAST
KENN
GAST
ML
74% 25-9
56% 18-14
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
ATS
71% 24-10
59% 19-13
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
TTL
56% 19-15
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Benson County Volleyball Sets Sights on State Tournament After D…
devilslakejournal 4 weeks ago
Kentucky Football's Second Scrimmage: Turnovers Dominate, Afari …
yahoo 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Kennett's Chris Sledge: The Unsung Hero Behind the Community's A…
semissourian 2 months ago
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…
triblive 2 months, 1 week ago
Panthers’ Wood weighs choices, picks KCU volleyball
irontontribune 2 months, 2 weeks ago