MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
10-14 | Road
112
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
18-5 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
PISTONS
100%
BUCKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
6.8%
MIL By 8-14 points
16.9%
DET By 1-7 points
1.4%
DET By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
132
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
111
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
115
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
102
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-12.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.0
Win
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIL @ DET
111 - 137
Dec 6, 2025
MIL @ DET
112 - 124
Dec 3, 2025
DET @ MIL
109 - 113
Nov 22, 2025
DET @ MIL
129 - 116
Oct 9, 2025
DET @ MIL
111 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
Milwaukee: 27.5
vs
Detroit: 23.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Milwaukee: 48.9%
vs
Detroit: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Milwaukee: 38.2%
vs
Detroit: 35.6%
Blocks (L5)
+66.5% more
Detroit: 6.4
vs
Milwaukee: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
132.0
112
DET Score
111.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 38.2
38.0 / 42.0
Assists
23.8 / 27.5
31.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.9
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 76.0
74.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
44.6 / 38.4
53.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.7
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 16.4
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIL
DET
MIL
ML
55%
64-53
64%
61-35
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
ATS
53%
60-54-3
68%
65-31
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
70-46-1
55%
53-43
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
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