Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Eagles CCU @ WIN

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

6-4  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Winthrop Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

5-5  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
CHANTICLEERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Winthrop)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 EaglesWIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

9.7%

Eagles Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

CCU By 1-7 points

6.8%

CCU By 8-14 points

1.7%

WIN By 1-7 points

18.6%

WIN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
49
COASTAL CAROLINA
62
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
71
COASTAL CAROLINA
78
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 CCU @ WIN 88 - 84
Nov 11, 2025 WIN @ CCU 66 - 72
Dec 7, 2024 CCU @ WIN 89 - 96
Dec 2, 2023 WIN @ CCU 90 - 87
Dec 3, 2022 CCU @ WIN 86 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +81.3% more
Winthrop: 17.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 9.8
Steals (L5) +34.8% more
Winthrop: 7.1 vs Coastal Carolina: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Winthrop: 47.2% vs Coastal Carolina: 36.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
Winthrop: 78.5% vs Coastal Carolina: 72.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 49.0 88
WIN Score 62.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 33.5 32.0 / 46.0
Assists 17.7 / 9.8 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.1 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 36.9 38.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 72.1 71.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 42.0 47.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.1 / 5.3 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.6 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
97%MONEY3%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
CCU
WIN
CCU
ML
70% 23-10
41% 13-19
79% 26-7
55% 17-14
ATS
79% 26-7
38% 12-20
79% 26-7
55% 17-14
TTL
58% 19-14
75% 24-8
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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