Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hens @ Hornets DEL @ DSU

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

2-5  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

2-8  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
BLUE HENS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Delaware)
Blue HensDEL (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hens Cover

90.3%

Hornets Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEL -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

DEL By 1-7 points

18.6%

DEL By 8-14 points

26.8%

DSU By 1-7 points

6.8%

DSU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
81
DELAWARE
68
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
65
DELAWARE
78
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Hens (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 DEL @ DSU 72 - 75
Dec 3, 2024 DSU @ DEL 80 - 93
Nov 15, 2023 DEL @ DSU 78 - 67
Dec 7, 2022 DSU @ DEL 69 - 77
Dec 2, 2021 DEL @ DSU 59 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.8% more
Delaware: 15.5 vs Delaware State: 10.7
Turnovers (L5) +19.1% more
Delaware: 12.6 vs Delaware State: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.1%
Delaware: 37.6% vs Delaware State: 24.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +10.8%
Delaware: 46.6% vs Delaware State: 35.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 81.0 72
DSU Score 68.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.5 / 37.6 38.0 / 38.0
Assists 10.7 / 15.5 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.7 / 1.5 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 35.7 / 46.6 47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 68.3 / 56.4 63.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 32.8 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.1 / 6.1 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.6 17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL Advantage
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
DEL
DSU
DEL
ML
60% 18-12
45% 14-17
75% 18-6
52% 16-15
ATS
60% 18-12
61% 19-12
72% 18-7
52% 16-15
TTL
57% 17-13
65% 20-11
100% 25-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 14 hours, 59 minutes ago
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
si 1 day, 20 hours ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 20 hours ago
Alabama's Keelon Russell Silences Doubters with Explosive Perfor…
si 5 days, 2 hours ago
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
headtopics 6 days, 20 hours ago