Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Braves NIU @ BRAD

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

3-5  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

5-4  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
HUSKIES --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Bradley)
HuskiesNIU (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

42.1%

Braves Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

NIU By 1-7 points

23.0%

NIU By 8-14 points

12.2%

BRAD By 1-7 points

26.8%

BRAD By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
75
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
77
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
65
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 NIU @ BRAD 55 - 84
Nov 16, 2024 NIU @ BRAD 60 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +95.3% more
Bradley: 3.8 vs Northern Illinois: 1.9
Steals (L5) +69.7% more
Bradley: 9.6 vs Northern Illinois: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5) +12.5%
Bradley: 71.4% vs Northern Illinois: 58.9%
Assists (L5) +11.9% more
Bradley: 12.6 vs Northern Illinois: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIU Score 75.0 55
BRAD Score 77.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 31.3 38.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.6 / 11.3 14.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.8 / 1.9 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 40.9 51.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 58.9 79.0 / 46.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 33.7 37.0 / 45.0
Steals 9.6 / 5.6 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.3 10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
NIU
BRAD
NIU
ML
65% 22-12
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
66% 19-10
ATS
59% 20-14
63% 19-11
68% 23-11
66% 19-10
TTL
68% 23-11
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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