Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Panthers LIN @ EIU

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

5-4  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Groniger Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

2-6  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
LIONS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
LionsLIN (-3.5) 0 PanthersEIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

27.4%

Panthers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)

LIN By 1-7 points

16.9%

LIN By 8-14 points

6.8%

EIU By 1-7 points

26.8%

EIU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
LINDENWOOD
76
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
LINDENWOOD
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 EIU @ LIN 71 - 67
Dec 6, 2025 LIN @ EIU 82 - 74
Feb 1, 2025 EIU @ LIN 76 - 70
Jan 2, 2025 LIN @ EIU 74 - 78
Feb 17, 2024 LIN @ EIU 57 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +12.5% more
Eastern Illinois: 14.3 vs Lindenwood: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +42.8% more
Lindenwood: 43.1 vs Eastern Illinois: 24.7
Steals (L5) +41.4% more
Lindenwood: 9.4 vs Eastern Illinois: 5.5
Blocks (L5) +38.9% more
Lindenwood: 4.8 vs Eastern Illinois: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 70.0 82
EIU Score 76.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 29.0 33.0 / 22.0
Assists 11.0 / 14.9 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.8 5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 44.0 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 71.1 72.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 24.7 / 43.1 35.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.5 / 9.4 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 12.7 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
LIN
EIU
LIN
ML
56% 18-14
47% 15-17
74% 23-8
61% 19-12
ATS
50% 16-16
34% 11-21
74% 23-8
61% 19-12
TTL
69% 22-10
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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