Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Panthers RMU @ MILW

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

7-4  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 8:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

4-5  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
COLONIALS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Robert Morris)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

86.4%

Panthers Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RMU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)

RMU By 1-7 points

21.6%

RMU By 8-14 points

27.4%

MILW By 1-7 points

9.3%

MILW By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
ROBERT MORRIS
56
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
70
ROBERT MORRIS
78
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonials Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colonials (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 MILW @ RMU 76 - 88
Dec 6, 2025 RMU @ MILW 72 - 74
Feb 23, 2025 MILW @ RMU 59 - 72
Jan 19, 2025 RMU @ MILW 81 - 79
Feb 10, 2024 MILW @ RMU 60 - 71
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Robert Morris: 35.8% vs Milwaukee: 31.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Robert Morris: 47.6% vs Milwaukee: 45.1%
Steals (L5) +31.2% more
Milwaukee: 7.8 vs Robert Morris: 5.9
Blocks (L5) +12.7% more
Milwaukee: 2.6 vs Robert Morris: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 67.0 72
MILW Score 56.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 35.8 28.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.3 / 17.2 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 47.6 38.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 59.2 71.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 38.3 36.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.8 / 5.9 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 10.8 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
RMU
MILW
RMU
ML
50% 16-16
36% 12-21
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
ATS
47% 15-17
55% 18-15
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
TTL
59% 19-13
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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