Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Terriers ELON @ WOF

ELON

PHOENIXELON

4-4  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 4:00 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

6-3  |  Home

52
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
PHOENIX --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wofford)
PhoenixELON (-3.5) 0 TerriersWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

46.0%

Terriers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WOF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)

ELON By 1-7 points

24.3%

ELON By 8-14 points

13.7%

WOF By 1-7 points

26.2%

WOF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
66
ELON
67
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
72
ELON
78
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 ELON @ WOF 73 - 52
Dec 7, 2024 WOF @ ELON 56 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +25.2% more
Elon: 10.8 vs Wofford: 8.1
Blocks (L5) +21.3% more
Elon: 3.7 vs Wofford: 2.9
Assists (L5) +16.1% more
Elon: 15.8 vs Wofford: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Elon: 45.8% vs Wofford: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ELON Score 66.0 73
WOF Score 67.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 35.3 22.0 / 42.0
Assists 13.3 / 15.8 8.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.7 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 45.8 32.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 73.5 60.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 39.7 28.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.5 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.1 / 10.8 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
5%MONEY95%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
WOF Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
ELON
WOF
ELON
ML
39% 12-19
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
ATS
58% 18-13
55% 17-14
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
TTL
65% 20-11
52% 16-15
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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