Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Ragin' Cajuns UNCW @ UL

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

8-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 4:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-8  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

27.4%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UL +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UL)

UNCW By 1-7 points

26.8%

UNCW By 8-14 points

24.3%

UL By 1-7 points

16.9%

UL By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
81
UNC WILMINGTON
75
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
68
UNC WILMINGTON
72
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ragin' Cajuns (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 UNCW @ UL 70 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
UNC Wilmington: 13.9 vs Louisiana: 10.2
Rebounding (L5) +21.4% more
UNC Wilmington: 41.0 vs Louisiana: 32.3
Steals (L5) +17.2% more
UNC Wilmington: 5.1 vs Louisiana: 4.2
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
UNC Wilmington: 44.6% vs Louisiana: 36.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 81.0 70
UL Score 75.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 35.2 31.0 / 37.0
Assists 10.2 / 13.9 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.7 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 36.5 / 44.6 39.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.6 / 73.4 77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 41.0 27.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.2 / 5.1 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 9.2 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
UNCW
UL
UNCW
ML
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
52% 17-16
ATS
66% 21-11
58% 19-14
63% 19-11
52% 17-16
TTL
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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