AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
TITANS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cleveland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
DETM By 1-7 points
23.0%
DETM By 8-14 points
12.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.8%
CLE By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
63
DETROIT MERCY
Cleveland State
65
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Cleveland State
72
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
CLE @ DETM
84 - 94
Dec 6, 2025
DETM @ CLE
71 - 59
Feb 21, 2025
CLE @ DETM
73 - 65
Jan 22, 2025
DETM @ CLE
50 - 65
Feb 1, 2024
CLE @ DETM
77 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+57.6% more
Cleveland State: 16.9
vs
Detroit Mercy: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Cleveland State: 6.5
vs
Detroit Mercy: 5.6
Blocks (L5)
+13.6% more
Cleveland State: 3.2
vs
Detroit Mercy: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+11.4% more
Cleveland State: 14.7
vs
Detroit Mercy: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
63.0
71
CLE Score
65.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 32.0
30.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.2
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 43.3
31.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 82.2
70.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 39.0
42.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 10.7
13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
CLE
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
CLE
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
DETM
CLE
DETM
ML
52%
17-16
58%
18-13
64%
21-12
50%
15-15
ATS
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
64%
21-12
50%
15-15
TTL
52%
17-16
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0