WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
5-5 | Road
83
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
6-4 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
COUGARS
100%
BRONCOS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Western Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WMU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
WMU By 1-7 points
5.8%
WMU By 8-14 points
15.3%
SIUE By 1-7 points
1.1%
SIUE By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
91
WESTERN MICHIGAN
SIU Edwardsville
69
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
69
WESTERN MICHIGAN
SIU Edwardsville
73
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Broncos (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
WMU @ SIUE
83 - 73
Nov 15, 2024
SIUE @ WMU
79 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.8% more
Western Michigan: 12.3
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Western Michigan: 35.8%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 31.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Western Michigan: 70.1%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 67.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Western Michigan: 46.6%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
91.0
83
SIUE Score
69.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 35.8
28.0 / 60.0
Assists
14.0 / 14.3
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.7
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 46.6
44.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
67.1 / 70.1
59.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 36.4
23.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.9 / 4.6
12.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 12.3
5.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
WMU
SIUE
WMU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
60%
18-12
70%
21-9
ATS
55%
17-14
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
70%
21-9
TTL
48%
15-16
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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