Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Ramblers PRIN @ LUC

PRINCETON

TIGERSPRIN

3-8  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:30 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

2-7  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
RAMBLERS
100%
TIGERS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Princeton)
TigersPRIN (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

98.9%

Ramblers Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRIN -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)

PRIN By 1-7 points

4.8%

PRIN By 8-14 points

13.7%

LUC By 1-7 points

0.8%

LUC By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
77
PRINCETON
54
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
68
PRINCETON
73
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 PRIN @ LUC 68 - 73
Nov 15, 2024 LUC @ PRIN 73 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.5% more
Princeton: 4.9 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +11.7% more
Princeton: 14.2 vs Loyola Chicago: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Princeton: 35.1% vs Loyola Chicago: 33.4%
Blocks (L5) +119.6% more
Loyola Chicago: 3.5 vs Princeton: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score 77.0 68
LUC Score 54.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 35.1 27.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.5 / 14.2 13.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.6 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 44.2 50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 57.3 65.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 30.8 35.0 / 32.0
Steals 3.6 / 4.9 2.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 14.2 9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN Advantage
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -2.4
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
PRIN
LUC
PRIN
ML
55% 18-15
45% 13-16
50% 16-16
62% 18-11
ATS
64% 21-12
48% 14-15
50% 16-16
62% 18-11
TTL
76% 25-8
72% 21-8
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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