RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
5-5 | Road
60
MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
8-0 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)
RUTG By 1-7 points
24.3%
RUTG By 8-14 points
13.7%
MICH By 1-7 points
26.2%
MICH By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
38
RUTGERS
Michigan
39
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Rutgers
68
RUTGERS
Michigan
72
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
RUTG @ MICH
60 - 101
Feb 27, 2025
RUTG @ MICH
82 - 84
Feb 1, 2025
MICH @ RUTG
66 - 63
Feb 29, 2024
MICH @ RUTG
52 - 82
Feb 3, 2024
RUTG @ MICH
69 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+89.5% more
Michigan: 20.9
vs
Rutgers: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+74.1% more
Michigan: 6.1
vs
Rutgers: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+41.0% more
Michigan: 46.6
vs
Rutgers: 33.1
Steals (L5)
+32.2% more
Michigan: 7.2
vs
Rutgers: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
38.0
60
MICH Score
39.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 36.6
45.0 / 26.0
Assists
20.9 / 11.0
26.0 / 10.0
Blocks
6.1 / 3.5
8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 42.3
60.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 69.9
67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
46.6 / 33.1
40.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.4
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 10.8
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MICH
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
RUTG
MICH
RUTG
ML
78%
31-9
53%
18-16
63%
24-14
70%
23-10
ATS
78%
31-9
68%
23-11
63%
24-14
70%
23-10
TTL
57%
23-17
53%
18-16
100%
38-0
100%
33-0
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