BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
3-7 | Road
56
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
4-6 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
BEARS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Bryant)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRY -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)
BRY By 1-7 points
13.7%
BRY By 8-14 points
24.3%
BRWN By 1-7 points
4.0%
BRWN By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
83
BRYANT
Brown
67
BROWN
Simulated Score
Bryant
74
BRYANT
Brown
78
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
BRY @ BRWN
56 - 75
Dec 6, 2024
BRWN @ BRY
76 - 75
Dec 1, 2023
BRY @ BRWN
69 - 66
Dec 2, 2022
BRWN @ BRY
72 - 60
Nov 26, 2021
BRY @ BRWN
65 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.8% more
Bryant: 14.9
vs
Brown: 11.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Bryant: 30.9%
vs
Brown: 26.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Bryant: 42.0%
vs
Brown: 39.4%
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Brown: 4.3
vs
Bryant: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
83.0
56
BRWN Score
67.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 30.9
55.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.3 / 14.9
19.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.4
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 42.0
42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 72.0
56.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 35.4
43.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.4
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 11.8
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
BRWN
Advantage
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
BRY
BRWN
BRY
ML
56%
15-12
70%
21-9
67%
18-9
80%
24-6
ATS
59%
16-11
73%
22-8
67%
18-9
80%
24-6
TTL
59%
16-11
67%
20-10
100%
27-0
100%
30-0
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