PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
12-9 | Road
116
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
10-13 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
BUCKS
100%
76ERS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
13.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
24.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
4.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
105
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
89
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
115
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u222.0
Win
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim
u222.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
MIL @ PHI
106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026
MIL @ PHI
122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025
PHI @ MIL
116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025
PHI @ MIL
123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025
MIL @ PHI
126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.6% more
Philadelphia: 6.4
vs
Milwaukee: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+25.6% more
Philadelphia: 10.1
vs
Milwaukee: 7.5
Rebounding (L5)
+16.0% more
Philadelphia: 46.5
vs
Milwaukee: 39.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Philadelphia: 80.0%
vs
Milwaukee: 77.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
105.0
116
MIL Score
89.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 31.9
34.0 / 40.0
Assists
28.2 / 25.0
26.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 45.6
46.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 80.0
74.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 46.5
37.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.5 / 10.1
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 16.0
18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
PHI
MIL
PHI
ML
64%
61-35
63%
69-40
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
71-38
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
TTL
55%
53-43
55%
60-49
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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