SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
13-12-3 | Road
1
DALLAS
STARSDAL
18-5-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 3.02 | 0.870 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.00 | 0.941 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.02
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.941
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
STARS
0%
SHARKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
SJ @ DAL
0 - 5
Jan 10, 2026
DAL @ SJ
4 - 5
Dec 18, 2025
DAL @ SJ
5 - 3
Dec 5, 2025
SJ @ DAL
1 - 4
Feb 8, 2025
DAL @ SJ
8 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+35.3% more
Dallas: 16.0
vs
San Jose: 11.9
Takeaways (L5)
+16.1% more
Dallas: 5.9
vs
San Jose: 5.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Dallas: 47.7%
vs
San Jose: 44.5%
Hits (L5)
+19.2% more
San Jose: 20.1
vs
Dallas: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
1
DAL Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 11.9
17.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 44.5
55.6 / 44.4
Hits
16.2 / 20.1
17.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
15.7 / 24.8
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 25.1
24.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 5.1
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
SJ
DAL
SJ
ML
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers