GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
11-11 | Road
98
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
11-9 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
76ERS
0%
WARRIORS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
GS By 1-7 points
0.0%
GS By 8-14 points
0.0%
PHI By 1-7 points
0.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
89
GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia
125
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Golden State
110
GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
PHI @ GS
113 - 94
Dec 4, 2025
GS @ PHI
98 - 99
Mar 1, 2025
GS @ PHI
119 - 126
Jan 2, 2025
PHI @ GS
105 - 139
Feb 7, 2024
GS @ PHI
127 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+77.3% more
Philadelphia: 6.1
vs
Golden State: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+52.1% more
Philadelphia: 11.2
vs
Golden State: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Golden State: 28.6
vs
Philadelphia: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
89.0
98
PHI Score
125.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 35.0
27.0 / 29.0
Assists
26.0 / 28.6
23.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.1 / 3.4
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 44.1
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 80.4
79.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 45.0
47.0 / 43.0
Steals
11.2 / 7.3
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.4
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
GS
PHI
GS
ML
63%
69-40
55%
95-79
48%
45-48
58%
49-35
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
101-73
48%
45-48
58%
49-35
TTL
55%
60-49
77%
134-40
100%
93-0
100%
84-0
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