TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
12-11-3 | Road
5
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
16-7-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Troy Stecher
#28 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Stecher | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
CAR @ TOR
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
TOR @ CAR
5 - 1
Nov 9, 2025
CAR @ TOR
5 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ CAR
4 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
CAR @ TOR
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.2% more
Carolina: 28.9
vs
Toronto: 26.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+49.3% more
Toronto: 18.6
vs
Carolina: 9.4
Hits (L5)
+21.7% more
Toronto: 22.4
vs
Carolina: 17.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.5%
Toronto: 62.3%
vs
Carolina: 49.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
2.0
5
CAR Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.4 / 18.6
4.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 62.3
43.5 / 56.5
Hits
17.6 / 22.4
18.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
872.0 / 1018.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 26.5
33.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 5.4
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
TOR
CAR
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…