Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ragin' Cajuns @ Cardinals UL @ LAM

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-7  |  Road

55
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Montagne Center
View Odds Details →

LAMAR

CARDINALSLAM

4-2  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Lamar)
Ragin' CajunsUL (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

46.0%

Cardinals Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)

UL By 1-7 points

24.3%

UL By 8-14 points

13.7%

LAM By 1-7 points

26.2%

LAM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
LOUISIANA
39
LAMAR
Simulated Score
70
LOUISIANA
75
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 UL @ LAM 55 - 65
Dec 14, 2024 LAM @ UL 74 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +128.7% more
Lamar: 17.9 vs Louisiana: 7.8
Steals (L5) +113.3% more
Lamar: 9.2 vs Louisiana: 4.3
Blocks (L5) +106.5% more
Lamar: 6.7 vs Louisiana: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +28.9% more
Lamar: 43.7 vs Louisiana: 33.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 38.0 55
LAM Score 39.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 22.4 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 17.9 / 7.8 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 6.7 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 33.8 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 56.9 / 63.9 63.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 33.9 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.2 / 4.3 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 15.0 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAM Advantage
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL Advantage
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAM
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
UL
LAM
UL
ML
55% 16-13
66% 21-11
59% 17-12
63% 19-11
ATS
52% 15-14
66% 21-11
60% 18-12
63% 19-11
TTL
72% 21-8
62% 20-12
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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