Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Tigers UNO @ MEM

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

2-6  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 8:00 PM ET
FedExForum
View Odds Details →

MEMPHIS

TIGERSMEM

3-4  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
PRIVATEERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (New Orleans)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 TigersMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

98.2%

Tigers Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNO -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNO)

UNO By 1-7 points

6.8%

UNO By 8-14 points

16.9%

MEM By 1-7 points

1.4%

MEM By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
80
NEW ORLEANS
59
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
72
NEW ORLEANS
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Privateers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Privateers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 UNO @ MEM 70 - 86
Dec 28, 2019 UNO @ MEM 55 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +8.0% more
New Orleans: 15.9 vs Memphis: 14.7
Blocks (L5) +37.6% more
Memphis: 4.1 vs New Orleans: 3.0
Steals (L5) +14.9% more
Memphis: 7.9 vs New Orleans: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Memphis: 32.5% vs New Orleans: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 80.0 70
MEM Score 59.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 27.3 40.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.1 / 12.3 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.0 8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 39.8 49.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 72.4 71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 36.7 40.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.9 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 15.9 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
MEM
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
MEM
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
UNO
MEM
UNO
ML
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
ATS
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
TTL
66% 21-11
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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