Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Falcons SEA @ ATL

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

9-3  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

FALCONSATL

4-8  |  Home

9
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Ryan Neuzil
KEY GAME

Ryan Neuzil

#64 | Center
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Ryan Neuzil None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
FALCONS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Atlanta)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 FalconsATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

47.2%

Falcons Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ATL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.1%

SEA By 7-13 points

14.6%

ATL By 1-6 points

16.7%

ATL By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
20
SEATTLE
21
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
24
SEATTLE
27
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Falcons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Falcons Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Falcons (+7) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Falcons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 SEA @ ATL 37 - 9
Oct 20, 2024 SEA @ ATL 34 - 14
Sep 25, 2022 ATL @ SEA 27 - 23
Sep 13, 2020 SEA @ ATL 38 - 25
Oct 27, 2019 SEA @ ATL 27 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +50.5% more
Seattle: 1.9 vs Atlanta: 0.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
Seattle: 0.4 vs Atlanta: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 20.0 37
ATL Score 21.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.2 / 19.8 15.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 204.4 / 197.1 154.0 / 236.0
Rushing Yards 133.1 / 126.3 120.0 / 129.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.08 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 337.4 / 323.4 274.0 / 365.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.9 3.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 5.6 4.4 / 6.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
ATL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
SEA
ATL
SEA
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
0% 0-4
50% 1-1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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