MIAMI
DOLPHINSMIA
5-7 | Road
34
NEW YORK
JETSNYJ
3-9 | Home
10
Key Game
KEY GAME
Brady Cook
#15 | Quarterback@
KEY GAME
Austin McNamara
#14 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Brady Cook | None-None |
| Austin McNamara | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
JETS
100%
DOLPHINS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
31.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MIA -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
MIA By 1-6 points
5.3%
MIA By 7-13 points
11.3%
NYJ By 1-6 points
2.2%
NYJ By 7-13 points
0.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
28
MIAMI
New York
3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Miami
20
MIAMI
New York
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u41.5
Loss
Proj Total: 31.0
D
Sim
u41.5
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
MIA @ NYJ
34 - 10
Sep 29, 2025
NYJ @ MIA
21 - 27
Jan 5, 2025
MIA @ NYJ
20 - 32
Dec 8, 2024
NYJ @ MIA
26 - 32
Dec 17, 2023
NYJ @ MIA
0 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.5% more
Miami: 1.2
vs
New York: 0.9
Rushing Yards (L5)
+22.1% more
Miami: 152.2
vs
New York: 118.6
Yards Per Play (L5)
+18.7% more
Miami: 5.6
vs
New York: 4.5
Total Yards (L5)
+14.0% more
Miami: 314.4
vs
New York: 270.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
28.0
34
NYJ Score
3.0
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.8 / 17.7
12.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards
151.8 / 162.2
142.0 / 119.0
Rushing Yards
118.6 / 152.2
65.0 / 239.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.08 / 0.2
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.4 / 0.6
Total Yards
270.4 / 314.4
207.0 / 358.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 1.2
3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
4.5 / 5.6
3.6 / 5.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -13.8
ATS +/-: -4.9
NYJ
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -13.8
ATS +/-: -4.9
NYJ
Advantage
2-1-1
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYJ
MIA
NYJ
MIA
ML
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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