NORTH ALABAMA
LIONSUNA
4-4 | Road
65
SAN FRANCISCO
DONSSF
5-3 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
DONS
0%
LIONS
--
DONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SF -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
UNA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNA By 8-14 points
0.0%
SF By 1-7 points
0.5%
SF By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
North Alabama
63
NORTH ALABAMA
San Francisco
96
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
North Alabama
67
NORTH ALABAMA
San Francisco
82
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Dons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
UNA @ SF
65 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
San Francisco: 13.2
vs
North Alabama: 10.0
Assists (L5)
+17.0% more
San Francisco: 14.0
vs
North Alabama: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
San Francisco: 37.7%
vs
North Alabama: 32.4%
Steals (L5)
+52.1% more
North Alabama: 7.5
vs
San Francisco: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNA Score
63.0
65
SF Score
96.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 32.4
29.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.0 / 12.0
17.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 5.2
10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 45.2
37.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 74.0
63.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 36.7
31.0 / 46.0
Steals
3.6 / 7.5
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 10.0
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
SF
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1
(37.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
SF
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.4
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
UNA
SF
UNA
ML
39%
13-20
43%
13-17
64%
21-12
57%
16-12
ATS
42%
14-19
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
57%
16-12
TTL
73%
24-9
63%
19-11
100%
33-0
100%
28-0
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