SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
4-4 | Road
86
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
7-1 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
SALUKIS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Southern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
SIU By 1-7 points
9.3%
SIU By 8-14 points
20.1%
HPU By 1-7 points
2.2%
HPU By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Illinois
76
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
High Point
57
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Southern Illinois
70
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
High Point
73
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Salukis
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Salukis (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
SIU @ HPU
86 - 84
Dec 21, 2024
HPU @ SIU
94 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.7% more
Southern Illinois: 3.1
vs
High Point: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.8% more
Southern Illinois: 12.5
vs
High Point: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Southern Illinois: 35.1
vs
High Point: 32.3
Steals (L5)
+35.2% more
High Point: 10.4
vs
Southern Illinois: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIU Score
76.0
86
HPU Score
57.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 25.5
38.0 / 45.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.1
10.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.1
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
53.0 / 48.2
43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 67.4
75.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 35.1
37.0 / 42.0
Steals
10.4 / 7.7
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.5
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
SIU
HPU
SIU
ML
80%
28-7
53%
17-15
80%
28-7
47%
15-17
ATS
71%
25-10
56%
18-14
80%
28-7
47%
15-17
TTL
66%
23-12
53%
17-15
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
