AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
ZIPS
0%
BISON
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
BUCK By 1-7 points
6.8%
BUCK By 8-14 points
1.7%
AKR By 1-7 points
18.6%
AKR By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
64
BUCKNELL
Akron
77
AKRON
Simulated Score
Bucknell
63
BUCKNELL
Akron
72
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
BUCK @ AKR
77 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+70.0% more
Akron: 3.5
vs
Bucknell: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+64.9% more
Akron: 20.6
vs
Bucknell: 12.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+17.4%
Akron: 58.0%
vs
Bucknell: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.3%
Akron: 46.5%
vs
Bucknell: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
64.0
77
AKR Score
77.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.5 / 32.2
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
20.6 / 12.5
25.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.5 / 2.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
58.0 / 40.6
56.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 70.2
65.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 30.0
38.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.3
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 15.9
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
BUCK
AKR
BUCK
ML
71%
24-10
55%
18-15
65%
22-12
64%
21-12
ATS
76%
26-8
45%
15-18
65%
22-12
64%
21-12
TTL
59%
20-14
61%
20-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0