Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Highlanders USM @ RAD

SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

4-3  |  Road

82
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

3-6  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Radford)
Golden EaglesUSM (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

4.5%

Highlanders Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

USM By 1-7 points

3.3%

USM By 8-14 points

0.6%

RAD By 1-7 points

12.2%

RAD By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
41
SOUTHERN MISS
58
RADFORD
Simulated Score
67
SOUTHERN MISS
70
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 USM @ RAD 82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
Radford: 16.0 vs Southern Miss: 13.2
Steals (L5) +17.6% more
Radford: 8.9 vs Southern Miss: 7.5
Turnovers (L5) +14.5% more
Radford: 11.9 vs Southern Miss: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.6%
Radford: 69.3% vs Southern Miss: 62.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USM Score 41.0 82
RAD Score 58.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 31.6 29.0 / 28.0
Assists 16.0 / 13.2 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 50.7 35.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 62.7 78.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 37.6 34.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.9 / 7.5 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 10.4 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USM Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
USM
RAD
USM
ML
77% 23-7
53% 18-16
76% 22-7
73% 24-9
ATS
63% 19-11
59% 20-14
77% 23-7
74% 25-9
TTL
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
si 4 days, 1 hour ago
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Vin Baker Joins Heat Staff, Cites 'Special Bond' with Giannis: '…
miamiherald 2 weeks ago