Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Hawks @ Vandals UND @ IDHO

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

3-7  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 9:00 PM ET
ICCU Arena
View Odds Details →

IDAHO

VANDALSIDHO

5-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING HAWKS
0%
📊
VANDALS
100%
FIGHTING HAWKS --
VANDALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (North Dakota)
Fighting HawksUND (-3.5) 0 VandalsIDHO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Hawks Cover

57.9%

Vandals Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UND -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)

UND By 1-7 points

26.8%

UND By 8-14 points

18.6%

IDHO By 1-7 points

23.0%

IDHO By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
84
NORTH DAKOTA
82
IDAHO
Simulated Score
68
NORTH DAKOTA
73
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vandals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Hawks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Vandals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 UND @ IDHO 58 - 90
Dec 6, 2022 UND @ IDHO 66 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +42.8% more
North Dakota: 8.2 vs Idaho: 4.7
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
North Dakota: 12.8 vs Idaho: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
North Dakota: 68.9% vs Idaho: 66.2%
Assists (L5) +50.0% more
Idaho: 13.0 vs North Dakota: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UND Score 84.0 58
IDHO Score 82.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 29.4 48.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.0 / 8.7 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.5 / 1.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 38.9 52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 68.9 92.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 31.8 35.0 / 20.0
Steals 4.7 / 8.2 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.8 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UND
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
IDHO Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
IDHO
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
UND
IDHO
UND
ML
56% 20-16
44% 15-19
64% 21-12
50% 17-17
ATS
58% 21-15
50% 17-17
64% 21-12
50% 17-17
TTL
69% 25-11
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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