PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
4-5 | Road
92
OAKLAND
GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK
3-5 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
MASTODONS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
MASTODONS
--
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Oakland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)
PFW By 1-7 points
0.0%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.0%
OAK By 1-7 points
0.1%
OAK By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
63
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Oakland
101
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
72
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Oakland
78
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
OAK @ PFW
74 - 65
Dec 3, 2025
PFW @ OAK
92 - 101
Feb 21, 2025
OAK @ PFW
66 - 80
Jan 22, 2025
PFW @ OAK
72 - 76
Mar 7, 2024
PFW @ OAK
65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.2% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 5.2
vs
Oakland: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+17.5% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 10.0
vs
Oakland: 8.2
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 11.9
vs
Oakland: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Purdue Fort Wayne: 39.0%
vs
Oakland: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PFW Score
63.0
92
OAK Score
101.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 39.0
45.0 / 41.0
Assists
15.5 / 15.3
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.1 / 5.2
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 51.3
53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 79.2
75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 32.7
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.2 / 10.0
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 11.9
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
OAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PFW
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
OAK
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
PFW
OAK
PFW
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
ATS
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
TTL
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
