LSU
TIGERSLSU
7-0 | Road
78
BOSTON COLLEGE
EAGLESBC
4-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
EAGLES
0%
TIGERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Boston College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)
LSU By 1-7 points
2.2%
LSU By 8-14 points
0.4%
BC By 1-7 points
9.3%
BC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
74
LSU
Boston College
93
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
LSU
72
LSU
Boston College
75
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LSU @ BC
78 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.6% more
Boston College: 5.1
vs
LSU: 4.5
Steals (L5)
+45.8% more
LSU: 6.3
vs
Boston College: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+33.2% more
LSU: 18.1
vs
Boston College: 12.1
Turnovers (L5)
+19.9% more
LSU: 11.7
vs
Boston College: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
74.0
78
BC Score
93.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 34.0
38.0 / 16.0
Assists
12.1 / 18.1
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 56.2
37.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 75.1
67.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 40.3
40.0 / 46.0
Steals
3.4 / 6.3
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 11.7
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
BC
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
BC
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
LSU
BC
LSU
ML
61%
19-12
62%
20-12
61%
17-11
62%
20-12
ATS
73%
22-8-1
66%
21-11
61%
17-11
62%
20-12
TTL
61%
19-12
72%
23-9
100%
28-0
100%
32-0
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