RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
6-1 | Road
84
BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
8-0 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
SPIDERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
RICH By 1-7 points
5.8%
RICH By 8-14 points
1.4%
BEL By 1-7 points
16.9%
BEL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
35
RICHMOND
Belmont
49
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Richmond
72
RICHMOND
Belmont
76
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
RICH @ BEL
84 - 76
Dec 14, 2024
BEL @ RICH
93 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+226.8% more
Belmont: 5.1
vs
Richmond: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+36.5% more
Belmont: 20.6
vs
Richmond: 15.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Belmont: 54.5%
vs
Richmond: 46.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Belmont: 43.0%
vs
Richmond: 35.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
35.0
84
BEL Score
49.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 35.2
32.0 / 56.0
Assists
20.6 / 15.1
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.1 / 1.6
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
54.5 / 46.0
47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 71.9
47.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 38.8
37.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.2
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 12.0
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
RICH
BEL
RICH
ML
47%
15-17
53%
17-15
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
ATS
56%
18-14
44%
14-18
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
TTL
44%
14-18
56%
18-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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