PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
3-7 | Road
58
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
4-4 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
HAWKS
100%
TIGERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Princeton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRIN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)
PRIN By 1-7 points
24.3%
PRIN By 8-14 points
26.8%
MONM By 1-7 points
12.2%
MONM By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
68
PRINCETON
Monmouth
59
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Princeton
65
PRINCETON
Monmouth
72
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
PRIN @ MONM
58 - 63
Dec 10, 2024
MONM @ PRIN
67 - 71
Nov 18, 2023
PRIN @ MONM
82 - 57
Dec 10, 2022
MONM @ PRIN
54 - 91
Nov 24, 2021
PRIN @ MONM
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.8% more
Princeton: 11.9
vs
Monmouth: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+215.4% more
Monmouth: 4.3
vs
Princeton: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+52.0% more
Monmouth: 7.3
vs
Princeton: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+20.8%
Monmouth: 73.2%
vs
Princeton: 52.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
68.0
58
MONM Score
59.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 36.1
21.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.2 / 14.8
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.3 / 1.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 44.8
41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 52.5
84.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 29.6
30.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.3 / 4.8
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.9
9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
PRIN
MONM
PRIN
ML
62%
21-13
45%
13-16
64%
21-12
62%
18-11
ATS
62%
21-13
48%
14-15
64%
21-12
62%
18-11
TTL
59%
20-14
72%
21-8
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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