Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Cougars CBU @ BYU

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

7-2  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

BYU

COUGARSBYU

7-1  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
LANCERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (BYU)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 CougarsBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

13.6%

Cougars Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)

CBU By 1-7 points

9.3%

CBU By 8-14 points

2.7%

BYU By 1-7 points

21.6%

BYU By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
78
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
89
BYU
Simulated Score
65
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 CBU @ BYU 60 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +86.3% more
BYU: 3.5 vs California Baptist: 1.9
Assists (L5) +20.3% more
BYU: 12.8 vs California Baptist: 10.7
Steals (L5) +12.7% more
BYU: 8.4 vs California Baptist: 7.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.2%
BYU: 41.0% vs California Baptist: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 78.0 60
BYU Score 89.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.0 / 28.8 35.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.8 / 10.7 23.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.9 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 44.2 55.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 72.0 79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 37.8 40.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.5 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 11.7 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
BYU
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
CBU
BYU
CBU
ML
60% 21-14
50% 17-17
72% 23-9
76% 25-8
ATS
54% 19-16
53% 18-16
72% 23-9
76% 25-8
TTL
69% 24-11
47% 16-18
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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