AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
PIONEERS
0%
EAGLES
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
EWU By 1-7 points
23.0%
EWU By 8-14 points
12.2%
DEN By 1-7 points
26.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
71
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Denver
73
DENVER
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Denver
72
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
EWU @ DEN
89 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+50.0% more
Eastern Washington: 2.7
vs
Denver: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+32.8% more
Eastern Washington: 6.9
vs
Denver: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+26.2% more
Eastern Washington: 15.5
vs
Denver: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+21.1% more
Eastern Washington: 36.8
vs
Denver: 29.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
71.0
89
DEN Score
73.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 32.8
48.0 / 50.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.7
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.3 / 2.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 43.4
48.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 73.6
85.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
29.0 / 36.8
26.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.9
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 15.5
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
DEN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
EWU
DEN
EWU
ML
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
ATS
66%
21-11
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
TTL
59%
19-13
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0