AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
BRONCOS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Santa Clara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)
UTU By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTU By 8-14 points
10.7%
SCU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SCU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
74
UTAH TECH
Santa Clara
77
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
65
UTAH TECH
Santa Clara
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
UTU @ SCU
80 - 90
Nov 8, 2023
UTU @ SCU
69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+136.8% more
Santa Clara: 5.5
vs
Utah Tech: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+25.2% more
Santa Clara: 17.5
vs
Utah Tech: 13.9
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Santa Clara: 35.5
vs
Utah Tech: 30.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Santa Clara: 35.9%
vs
Utah Tech: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
74.0
80
SCU Score
77.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 31.5
30.0 / 34.0
Assists
17.5 / 13.9
26.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.5 / 2.3
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 48.6
47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 77.2
54.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 30.3
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.9
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.6
14.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
SCU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
UTU
SCU
UTU
ML
44%
15-19
68%
23-11
73%
22-8
62%
21-13
ATS
53%
18-16
65%
22-12
74%
23-8
62%
21-13
TTL
47%
16-18
65%
22-12
100%
31-0
100%
34-0