LOUISIANA TECH
BULLDOGSLT
4-2 | Road
69
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
EAGLESGASO
4-5 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
EAGLES
100%
BULLDOGS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LT -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)
LT By 1-7 points
4.8%
LT By 8-14 points
13.7%
GASO By 1-7 points
0.8%
GASO By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Louisiana Tech
80
LOUISIANA TECH
Georgia Southern
57
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Louisiana Tech
69
LOUISIANA TECH
Georgia Southern
72
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LT @ GASO
69 - 77
Dec 13, 2024
GASO @ LT
63 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.9
vs
Georgia Southern: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+14.2% more
Louisiana Tech: 42.8
vs
Georgia Southern: 36.7
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Louisiana Tech: 12.2
vs
Georgia Southern: 10.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Louisiana Tech: 46.0%
vs
Georgia Southern: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LT Score
80.0
69
GASO Score
57.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 27.9
27.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.9 / 12.2
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 46.0
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
65.8 / 64.0
78.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 42.8
32.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.6
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.9
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
GASO
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
GASO
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
LT
GASO
LT
ML
56%
20-16
58%
19-14
58%
19-14
72%
23-9
ATS
64%
23-13
61%
20-13
58%
19-14
72%
23-9
TTL
61%
22-14
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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