CLEMSON
TIGERSCLEM
7-1 | Road
84
ALABAMA
CRIMSON TIDEALA
5-2 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
CRIMSON TIDE
100%
TIGERS
--
CRIMSON TIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Clemson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLEM -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)
CLEM By 1-7 points
15.3%
CLEM By 8-14 points
25.3%
ALA By 1-7 points
4.8%
ALA By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Clemson
88
CLEMSON
Alabama
73
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
Clemson
75
CLEMSON
Alabama
78
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson Tide
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Crimson Tide (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
CLEM @ ALA
84 - 90
Mar 30, 2024
CLEM @ ALA
82 - 89
Nov 28, 2023
CLEM @ ALA
85 - 77
Dec 12, 2020
CLEM @ ALA
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+199.0% more
Alabama: 6.1
vs
Clemson: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+36.3% more
Alabama: 20.9
vs
Clemson: 15.4
Steals (L5)
+22.4% more
Alabama: 7.1
vs
Clemson: 5.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Alabama: 39.2%
vs
Clemson: 35.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score
88.0
84
ALA Score
73.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 35.6
35.0 / 21.0
Assists
20.9 / 15.4
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.1 / 2.1
12.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 48.5
47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 75.9
71.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 42.2
39.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.1
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
ALA
Advantage
25-10-0
(71.4%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
Advantage
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
ALA
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -2.1
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
CLEM
ALA
CLEM
ML
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
58%
19-14
72%
23-9
ATS
60%
21-14
71%
25-10
58%
19-14
72%
23-9
TTL
63%
22-13
69%
24-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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