Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ 49ers NCAT @ CLT

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

3-3  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Halton Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

4-5  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
AGGIES --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Charlotte)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 49ersCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

42.1%

49ers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

NCAT By 1-7 points

23.0%

NCAT By 8-14 points

12.2%

CLT By 1-7 points

26.8%

CLT By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
71
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
62
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
76
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u146.0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 NCAT @ CLT 57 - 74
Dec 19, 2020 NCAT @ CLT 72 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 6.5 vs Charlotte: 4.5
Assists (L5) +13.4% more
North Carolina A&T: 12.2 vs Charlotte: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +12.1% more
North Carolina A&T: 13.0 vs Charlotte: 11.4
Blocks (L5) +10.4% more
North Carolina A&T: 3.6 vs Charlotte: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 69.0 57
CLT Score 71.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 34.6 41.0 / 22.0
Assists 10.6 / 12.2 15.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 47.9 52.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 67.2 68.0 / 66.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 36.0 31.0 / 25.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.5 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 13.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
CLT Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
NCAT
CLT
NCAT
ML
62% 21-13
52% 14-13
67% 22-11
63% 17-10
ATS
68% 23-11
63% 17-10
67% 22-11
64% 18-10
TTL
65% 22-12
69% 18-8-1
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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