Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Huskies LIN @ NIU

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

4-4  |  Road

99
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 8:00 PM ET
NIU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

3-5  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
LIONS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Northern Illinois)
LionsLIN (-3.5) 0 HuskiesNIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

6.7%

Huskies Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIU)

LIN By 1-7 points

4.8%

LIN By 8-14 points

1.1%

NIU By 1-7 points

15.3%

NIU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
LINDENWOOD
86
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
65
LINDENWOOD
78
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 LIN @ NIU 99 - 64
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Northern Illinois: 30.4% vs Lindenwood: 26.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Northern Illinois: 43.4% vs Lindenwood: 40.5%
Blocks (L5) +70.4% more
Lindenwood: 4.7 vs Northern Illinois: 1.4
Assists (L5) +22.4% more
Lindenwood: 15.3 vs Northern Illinois: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 71.0 99
NIU Score 86.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 26.0 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 11.9 / 15.3 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.4 / 4.7 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 40.5 36.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 63.4 / 71.2 50.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 39.7 36.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.6 2.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 14.0 18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
NIU
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
LIN
NIU
LIN
ML
67% 20-10
47% 15-17
66% 19-10
61% 19-12
ATS
63% 19-11
34% 11-21
66% 19-10
61% 19-12
TTL
67% 20-10
53% 17-15
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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