BROWN
BEARSBRWN
3-6 | Road
56
RHODE ISLAND
RAMSURI
7-2 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
RAMS
0%
BEARS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
BRWN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BRWN By 8-14 points
12.2%
URI By 1-7 points
26.8%
URI By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
82
BROWN
Rhode Island
84
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Brown
72
BROWN
Rhode Island
78
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
BRWN @ URI
56 - 66
Dec 10, 2024
URI @ BRWN
80 - 84
Dec 6, 2023
BRWN @ URI
67 - 64
Dec 7, 2022
BRWN @ URI
59 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+11.9% more
Rhode Island: 8.8
vs
Brown: 7.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Rhode Island: 49.2%
vs
Brown: 43.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Rhode Island: 32.7%
vs
Brown: 30.1%
Blocks (L5)
+29.0% more
Brown: 4.9
vs
Rhode Island: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
82.0
56
URI Score
84.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 30.1
22.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.0
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 43.5
43.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 68.2
73.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 34.4
39.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.9
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 13.8
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
URI
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
BRWN
URI
BRWN
ML
62%
20-12
56%
15-12
59%
19-13
67%
18-9
ATS
56%
18-14
59%
16-11
59%
19-13
67%
18-9
TTL
56%
18-14
59%
16-11
100%
32-0
100%
27-0
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